对外贸易发展方式转变研究及展望

By | 2020年6月30日

李昌奎  孙  强

http://doi.org/10.6914/TPSS.202006_2(2).0002

摘要  贸易发展方式转变是我国经济发展质量提升的重要推动力量,是开放型经济新体制构建的主要目标,更是贯彻落实经济发展新理念,供给侧结构性改革取得实效的重要体现。本文首先对对外贸易发展方式转变内涵与必要性研究进行了梳理,并归纳出了对外贸易发展方式转变前后在指导思想、政策目标及企业策略等方面的差异;随后对当前对外贸易发展方式转变效果评价、转变途径及动力机制等方面的研究进行了分析,并指出我国对外贸易发展方式转变研究中存在着认识有待深化、方法亟待完善等问题。最后对未来研究进行了展望,并提出:以定性比较分析(QCA)对影响贸易发展方式转变的因素进行组态分析,以社会网络分析(SNA)方法对我国在世界贸易网络中的节点特征演化进行研究,不仅能够拓展、深化当前对贸易发展方式转变的认识和研究,更能为我国贸易发展方式转变战略制定、政策完善提供思路和启示。

关键词  对外贸易发展方式转变  研究方法  未来展望

A Review on the Transformation of Foreign Trade Development Patterns and Future Prospects

Li Changkui    Sun Qiang

Abstract:The transformation of trade development mode (TTDM) is an important driving force for improving the quality of economic development in China, the main content of the construction of the new open economy system, and it is also an important embodiment of implementing the new idea of economic development and the actual effects of the supply side structural reform. First of all, my paper collates the researches on the connotation and necessity of TTDM. More than that it summarizes the differences before and after the transformation in the aspects of guideline, policy objectives and corporate strategy; after that an analysis on the study of TTDM effect appraise, transformation patterns and dynamic mechanism is carried out. This paper also points out some issues such as the urgent need for the perfection of its knowledge and methods. Finally, it provides an outlook for its future researches and proposes a method based on QCA and SNA, which analyzes the configuration of factors in TTDM, develops the research on the nodes characteristics of China in the world trade net, as well as deepens the understanding and researches for TTDM.

Key word: The transformation of trade development mode; Research methods; Future prospects

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